Probability & Stochastic Processes for Traders
Random walks, martingales, Itô calculus made operational. Why your "edge" is a sample of size one.
- Brownian motion & GBM
- Markov chains for regime detection
- Bayesian inference in trading
Seven modules. Twelve weeks. Each module ships with notebooks, datasets, and a graded research project. No fluff, no recycled YouTube content, no "trust me, bro".
Random walks, martingales, Itô calculus made operational. Why your "edge" is a sample of size one.
P-hacking, selection bias, multiple testing — why 99% of backtests are fiction and how to catch it.
VaR, CVaR, drawdown distributions. Position sizing as an optimization problem, not a vibe.
From Markowitz to Black-Litterman to HRP. Covariance estimation when it actually matters.
Mean reversion, momentum, carry, vol — the four horsemen, decomposed and rebuilt from first principles.
Where ML helps, where it overfits, and how to know the difference. Built on real, leakage-free pipelines.
Ship a fully audited, walk-forward validated strategy with reproducible research notebook. We co-sign it if it passes.
Production-grade Jupyter notebooks covering every module. Reusable, well-commented, MIT-licensed for your own derivative material.
Mean-reversion, momentum, vol-arbitrage. Full source. Yours to study, modify, and explain to your students — never to redistribute as-is.
Pass the capstone, get co-signed. Verifiable credential on our public registry. Your students can confirm you're not a guru.
No. You should be comfortable with Python and high-school statistics. If "covariance matrix" is unfamiliar, take a primer first — we list ours under recommended prerequisites.
No, but you must commit. Self-taught coaches with strong programming skills perform well. Non-technical influencers without a math background generally do not pass the capstone.
Twelve weeks live cohort. Modules unlock weekly with one open office-hour per week. The capstone runs for the final fortnight.
You receive a coach-license: full rights to teach the *concepts* and use derived material in your own curriculum. You may not redistribute the original notebooks or strategy code verbatim.
Pass the capstone and your audit + paper-trading record is co-signed by both founders as a verifiable AlphaTrading Coach credential. Your students can verify it on our public registry.
Full refund within 14 days, no questions. After Module 02 unlocks, no refunds — by then you have the most valuable IP in the program.
04 of 06 seats remaining. Applications reviewed weekly.